MODEL TUTUPAN LAHAN DI DAERAH ALIRAN SUNGAI KOTA AMBON TAHUN 2031MODEL TUTUPAN LAHAN DI DAERAH ALIRAN SUNGAI KOTA AMBON TAHUN 2031: STUDI KASUS DAS WAI BATU GANTUNG, WAI BATU GAJAH, WAI TOMU, WAI BATU MERAH DAN WAI RUHU

Changes in land use/land cover (LULC) watersheds of Ambon City are influenced by human activities,mostly driven socio-economic factors. the watershed thecenter have potential to trigger land-use change which will an impact on landdegradation, water pollution, flooding, and erosion increase future. Therefore, theutilization efficiency area must be increased based rational planning. The objectives this study were analyze changes 2012, 2017, 2022 predict 2031. This used Cellular Automata Markov Chan (CA-MC) six factors driving development settlements. results showed that from 2022, for settlements open continued increase, while non-agricultural areas agricultural decreased area. In 2031, residential has 1,863.34 ha; is because continue along with population growth high demand watersheds.